Renato's Weather Blog

Temperatures through out Northern NJ right are in the upper 40s-low 50s and still getting colder. At EWR (Newark Airport) temperature is at 48, which is 4 degrees cooler than what the NAM had projected at 12z. I believe that the temperatures will continue to decrease and there is a possibility that we will see more frozen precipitation out of it. I believe you guys up in NW NJ will see similar results to what happened in the October snowstorm, with alot of heavy wet snow especially in the higher elevations.

For us here in the NYC metro area, I think we are going to be just on the fringe of the big time heavy snow but I would not be surprised to see a couple of inches (with more locally) of heavy wet snow as dynamic cooling takes place from the low "bombing" out offshore.

Most of this will be rain but I think the dynamics of this storm + the cooler temperatures will allow probably a 6 hr timeperiod for some heavy wet snow. Any sooner though, and my numbers might have to extend a bit. But, I will keep you updated as always.

Here is my call:

Dark Blue= Starts off as rain, then changeover occurs before anyone else. Heaviest period of frozen precip around midnight-3AM. 3-6" with locally more

Light Blue= Also starts off as rain, majority rain, but changeover occurs as the storm moves away giving the area 1-3" with locally more.

Lightest Blue= Mostly rain but a coating to an inch possible.

Dark Green= All rain, close to 2" of it. Flooding potential is there so be on alert for those who live in flood-prone areas.